2026 NFL season · remaining schedule
NFL survivor pool team schedule value map
Compare each team’s estimated chance to win across the remaining weeks. The green cells flag matchups at or above 60%, a quick way to spot teams that may have more than one useful survivor-pool week.
Estimates current through Oct 5, 2026 at 3:18 PM UTC. The current slate begins with Week 5. Past kickoffs and bye weeks are not counted as available picks.
Remaining NFL team win probabilities by week
“Useful weeks” counts a team’s remaining scheduled matchups with an estimated win probability of at least 60%. The threshold is a comparison aid, not a guarantee or a universal pick recommendation. Your best choice also depends on your pool rules and the teams each entry has already used.
| Team | Useful weeks 60%+ | Wk 5 | Wk 6 | Wk 7 | Wk 8 | Wk 9 | Wk 10 | Wk 11 | Wk 12 | Wk 13 | Wk 14 | Wk 15 | Wk 16 | Wk 17 | Wk 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle SeahawksSEA | 8 | 70%vs. SF | 51%at DEN | 68%vs. KC | 64%vs. CHI | 72%vs. ARI | 71%at LV | — | 58%at SF | 68%vs. DAL | 71%vs. NYG | 57%at PHI | 59%vs. LA | 67%at CAR | 51%at LA |
| New England PatriotsNE | 8 | 83%vs. LV | 72%vs. NYJ | 55%at CHI | 64%at MIA | 61%vs. GB | 55%at DET | — | 57%at LAC | 54%vs. BUF | 63%vs. MIN | 60%at KC | 68%at NYJ | 54%vs. DEN | 67%vs. MIA |
| Denver BroncosDEN | 8 | 58%at LAC | 49%vs. SEA | 68%at ARI | 65%vs. KC | 64%at CAR | — | 72%vs. LV | 57%at PIT | 68%vs. MIA | 69%at NYJ | 70%at LV | 56%vs. BUF | 46%at NE | 63%vs. LAC |
| Los Angeles RamsLA | 8 | 58%vs. BUF | 70%vs. ARI | 69%at LV | 60%vs. LAC | 65%at WAS | 67%at ARI | — | 61%vs. GB | 64%vs. KC | 53%at SF | 65%vs. DAL | 41%at SEA | 61%at TB | 49%vs. SEA |
| Buffalo BillsBUF | 8 | 42%at LA | 69%at LV | — | 61%vs. BAL | 54%at MIN | 67%at NYJ | 66%vs. MIA | 63%vs. KC | 46%at NE | 54%at GB | 60%vs. CHI | 44%at DEN | 60%at MIA | 71%vs. NYJ |
| Houston TexansHOU | 7 | 77%at TEN | 49%at JAX | 70%vs. NYG | — | 57%at LAC | 66%at CLE | 66%vs. IND | 62%vs. BAL | 56%at PIT | 65%at WAS | 58%vs. JAX | 52%at PHI | 57%at GB | 71%vs. TEN |
| Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 7 | 41%at JAX | 64%vs. CAR | 63%vs. DAL | 60%at WAS | 67%vs. NYG | — | 59%vs. PIT | 56%at DAL | 65%at ARI | 61%vs. IND | 43%vs. SEA | 48%vs. HOU | 48%at SF | 63%at NYG |
| Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 6 | 59%vs. PHI | 51%vs. HOU | — | 64%vs. IND | 51%at BAL | 67%at TEN | 64%at NYG | 70%vs. TEN | 51%at CHI | 60%vs. PIT | 42%at HOU | 58%at DAL | 68%vs. WAS | 57%at IND |
| San Francisco 49ersSF | 4 | 30%at SEA | 67%vs. WAS | 56%at ATL | — | 71%vs. LV | 56%at DAL | 58%vs. MIN | 42%vs. SEA | 63%at NYG | 47%vs. LA | 50%at LAC | 56%at KC | 52%vs. PHI | 63%at ARI |
| Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 4 | 63%vs. IND | 52%at TB | 54%at NO | 65%vs. CLE | — | 53%at CIN | 41%at PHI | 43%vs. DEN | 44%vs. HOU | 40%at JAX | 51%vs. BAL | 63%vs. CAR | 62%at TEN | 44%at BAL |
| Detroit LionsDET | 3 | 66%at ARI | — | 55%vs. GB | 55%vs. MIN | 54%at MIA | 45%vs. NE | 59%vs. TB | 54%vs. CHI | 56%at ATL | 68%vs. TEN | 46%at MIN | 66%vs. NYG | 45%at CHI | 48%at GB |
| Baltimore RavensBAL | 3 | 58%at ATL | 60%at CLE | 58%vs. CIN | 39%at BUF | 49%vs. JAX | 55%vs. LAC | 56%at CAR | 38%at HOU | — | 62%vs. TB | 49%at PIT | 66%vs. CLE | 53%at CIN | 56%vs. PIT |
| Minnesota VikingsMIN | 3 | 59%at NO | — | 59%vs. IND | 45%at DET | 46%vs. BUF | 45%at GB | 42%at SF | 59%vs. ATL | 63%vs. CAR | 37%at NE | 54%vs. DET | 64%vs. WAS | 63%at NYJ | 53%vs. CHI |
| Dallas CowboysDAL | 3 | 57%vs. TB | 43%at GB | 37%at PHI | 61%vs. ARI | 45%at IND | 44%vs. SF | 64%vs. TEN | 44%vs. PHI | 32%at SEA | — | 35%at LA | 42%vs. JAX | 62%vs. NYG | 52%at WAS |
| Kansas City ChiefsKC | 3 | — | 51%vs. LAC | 32%at SEA | 35%at DEN | 66%vs. NYJ | 50%at ATL | 64%vs. ARI | 37%at BUF | 36%at LA | 51%at CIN | 40%vs. NE | 44%vs. SF | 42%at LAC | 68%vs. LV |
| Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 2 | 47%at MIA | — | 42%at BAL | 64%vs. TEN | 48%at ATL | 47%vs. PIT | 52%at WAS | 56%vs. NO | 54%at CLE | 49%vs. KC | 51%at CAR | 46%at IND | 47%vs. BAL | 62%vs. CLE |
| Green Bay PackersGB | 2 | 55%vs. CHI | 57%vs. DAL | 45%at DET | 63%vs. CAR | 39%at NE | 55%vs. MIN | — | 39%at LA | 57%at NO | 46%vs. BUF | 61%vs. MIA | 45%at CHI | 43%vs. HOU | 52%vs. DET |
| Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 2 | 42%vs. DEN | 49%at KC | — | 40%at LA | 43%vs. HOU | 45%at BAL | 68%vs. NYJ | 43%vs. NE | 54%at TB | 65%at LV | 50%vs. SF | 56%at MIA | 58%vs. KC | 37%at DEN |
| Chicago BearsCHI | 2 | 45%at GB | 54%at ATL | 45%vs. NE | 36%at SEA | 60%vs. TB | — | 63%vs. NO | 46%at DET | 49%vs. JAX | 54%at MIA | 40%at BUF | 55%vs. GB | 55%vs. DET | 47%at MIN |
| Indianapolis ColtsIND | 2 | 37%at PIT | 64%vs. TEN | 41%at MIN | 36%at JAX | 55%vs. DAL | 56%vs. MIA | 34%at HOU | 62%vs. NYG | — | 39%at PHI | 58%at TEN | 54%vs. CIN | 54%at CLE | 43%vs. JAX |
| Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1 | 54%at NYJ | 40%vs. BAL | 50%at TEN | 35%at PIT | 41%at NO | 34%vs. HOU | — | 61%vs. LV | 46%vs. CIN | 48%vs. ATL | 47%at NYG | 34%at BAL | 46%vs. IND | 38%at CIN |
| Miami DolphinsMIA | 1 | 53%vs. CIN | — | 59%at NYJ | 36%vs. NE | 46%vs. DET | 44%at IND | 34%at BUF | 63%vs. NYJ | 32%at DEN | 46%vs. CHI | 39%at GB | 44%vs. LAC | 40%vs. BUF | 33%at NE |
| Atlanta FalconsATL | 0 | 42%vs. BAL | 46%vs. CHI | 44%vs. SF | 45%at TB | 52%vs. CIN | 50%vs. KC | — | 41%at MIN | 44%vs. DET | 52%at CLE | 50%at WAS | 54%vs. TB | 56%vs. NO | 49%at CAR |
| New Orleans SaintsNO | 0 | 41%vs. MIN | 51%at NYG | 46%vs. PIT | — | 59%vs. CLE | 55%vs. CAR | 37%at CHI | 44%at CIN | 43%vs. GB | 47%at CAR | 44%at TB | 60%vs. ARI | 44%at ATL | 52%vs. TB |
| Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 0 | 43%at DAL | 48%vs. PIT | 49%at CAR | 55%vs. ATL | 40%at CHI | — | 41%at DET | 57%vs. CAR | 46%vs. LAC | 38%at BAL | 56%vs. NO | 46%at ATL | 39%vs. LA | 48%at NO |
| Washington CommandersWAS | 0 | 60%vs. NYG | 33%at SF | — | 40%vs. PHI | 35%vs. LA | 49%at NYG | 48%vs. CIN | 48%at ARI | 51%at TEN | 35%vs. HOU | 50%vs. ATL | 36%at MIN | 32%at JAX | 48%vs. DAL |
| Carolina PanthersCAR | 0 | — | 36%at PHI | 51%vs. TB | 37%at GB | 36%vs. DEN | 45%at NO | 44%vs. BAL | 43%at TB | 37%at MIN | 53%vs. NO | 49%vs. CIN | 37%at PIT | 33%vs. SEA | 51%vs. ATL |
| Arizona CardinalsARI | 0 | 34%vs. DET | 30%at LA | 32%vs. DEN | 39%at DAL | 28%at SEA | 33%vs. LA | 36%at KC | 52%vs. WAS | 35%vs. PHI | — | 57%vs. NYJ | 40%at NO | 60%vs. LV | 37%vs. SF |
| New York GiantsNYG | 0 | 40%at WAS | 49%vs. NO | 30%at HOU | — | 33%at PHI | 51%vs. WAS | 36%vs. JAX | 38%at IND | 37%vs. SF | 29%at SEA | 53%vs. CLE | 34%at DET | 38%at DAL | 37%vs. PHI |
| Tennessee TitansTEN | 0 | 23%vs. HOU | 36%at IND | 50%vs. CLE | 36%at CIN | — | 33%vs. JAX | 36%at DAL | 30%at JAX | 49%vs. WAS | 32%at DET | 42%vs. IND | 50%at LV | 38%vs. PIT | 29%at HOU |
| New York JetsNYJ | 0 | 46%vs. CLE | 28%at NE | 41%vs. MIA | 57%vs. LV | 34%at KC | 33%vs. BUF | 32%at LAC | 37%at MIA | — | 31%vs. DEN | 43%at ARI | 32%vs. NE | 37%vs. MIN | 29%at BUF |
| Las Vegas RaidersLV | 0 | 17%at NE | 31%vs. BUF | 31%vs. LA | 43%at NYJ | 29%at SF | 29%vs. SEA | 28%at DEN | 39%at CLE | — | 35%vs. LAC | 30%vs. DEN | 50%vs. TEN | 40%at ARI | 32%at KC |
How to use this survivor schedule map
A team with several green cells may give you flexibility later, but that does not automatically make it a team to save. Compare its current matchup with the best alternatives, then check which future weeks have few strong options. Survivor pools usually limit each entry to one use per team, so future value depends on that entry’s own pick history.
These are the published planning win-probability estimates and can change as new information arrives. Projected ownership is a separate estimate of how popular a pick may be; this map does not treat popularity as a win signal. Check the update time and current weekly board before recording a pick.